Beyond the Bell

The Equity Market: 1st Quarter 2020 – What a Long, Strange Trip it’s Been

What a long, strange trip it’s been. And we know we don’t need to tell you that—we’ve all been on this trip together. “Long” is the operative and ironic word, here, given that the past month has in many ways felt like years as we have ridden out the storms of each day and each week in an environment so foreign that it is hard to remember what “normal” felt like just a calendar page ago.

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Snow falling in City

The Bond Market: 4th Quarter 2019

I enjoy writing the fourth quarter commentary; other than the highlights of the quarter, it provides an opportunity to look back at some of the prominent events of the entire year. And what a year it was.

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The Equity Market: 4th Quarter 2019

Happy New Year, and Happy End of a Decade—and a pretty blow-out one at that. We find it both nostalgic and fruitful to look back at the past decade because it can help us refine and adjust our perspective for the year (and decade) to come.

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Fall leaves and blue sky

The Equity Market: 3rd Quarter 2019

Inter- and intraday volatility was a far too common occurrence this quarter—the market swung in both directions on an almost daily basis, but the swings were fortunately relatively range-bound. Quarter-end was an accurate portrayal of this range-bound volatility, with the S&P 500 Index settling out at +1.7%.

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Fall trees and blue sky

The Bond Market: 3rd Quarter 2019

“In the middle of 2018, I said that the more things changed, the more they seemed to stay the same. That was not the case for July through September of this year. “

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Overhead of beach and ocean

The Equity Market: Q2 2019

In reversing some of the steadier seas seen in the first quarter, the second quarter of 2019 marked a return to a volatile environment more closely resembling the tail end of 2018. Despite a peak-to-trough decline in the S&P 500 in May (by about 7%), little changed in aggregate as markets subsequently recovered and ended the quarter up just under 4%.

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ferris wheel against blue sky

The Bond Market: Q2 2019

About mid-June I received an interesting question from a colleague at Howe & Rusling—one that probably could have come at any point over the past few months, but with the end of the quarter looming, it seemed the perfect time.

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Q1 2019 Equity Market: Cautiously Optimistic

The first quarter of 2019 was certainly easier to stomach than the one prior in which we experienced a dramatic sell-off to finish 2018. Refreshingly, the S&P 500 Index finished the first quarter up over 13%, recouping nearly all of its losses from the fourth quarter (although it hasn’t quite cut through its 2018 high of 2929.67). This was actually the market’s best start to a year since 1998—and every sector brought in positive returns. Market performance is just one piece of the puzzle, though, so we look to the economic backdrop and the behavior of monetary and political policy makers to get a true pulse on things.

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