Beyond the Bell

Father and child on beach in California

Taxes and the Cost of an Obsession

“Return on hassle” refers to the concept of evaluating the time and effort required for a financial decision in addition to its expected financial return. Hedge fund manager Bill Ackman has another name for this idea: “Return-on-invested-brain-damage.” If the return isn’t high enough to justify the brain damage or hassle, move on. For real estate investors, this includes the mental and physical labor involved in finding tenants, maintaining properties, and managing debt, among other responsibilities. These are “hassles” that traditional investments like stocks and bonds don’t typically entail. An obsession with tax avoidance is perhaps my favorite topic when considering the “return on hassle.”

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Red Raspberries

Sowing Season

I write these articles once a month and my goal is to keep my readers informed. Those readers are, for the most part, clients, colleagues, and friends. That information is typically about the financial markets, about trends, about how I’m approaching a given topic, and about the big picture of finances. There is often a running theme of examining a claim or ill-defined story driven by headlines or sound bites and digging deeper. The market is an inherently noisy thing. There is always something new to grab our attention, always someone making a claim that this is the thing we really must heed. Really! It is worthwhile to examine those stories and claims and see what we can learn, but it’s also easy to get lost in the noise and become distracted from the places our attention really belongs.

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dock on St. Lawrence River

An Ode to Summertime

When you’re little, the world around you seems to turn like a play. And you’re at the center of it. Scenes change; sets turn over—without so much as an interruption. The show goes off without a hitch. The crew in black aren’t seen as they rush around the stage—but you wouldn’t have noticed them anyway. Because things happen somewhat magically when you’re a kid.

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Canoe on lake front

What is the Value of a Memory?

Awareness is the bedrock of financial planning. Awareness of incoming and outgoing cash flows, of risks and returns, of various investment vehicles, of economic conditions, of goals. Awareness. After awareness comes control. Controlling cash flows by directing them in the right investment vehicles at the right time over a long time-horizon to achieve those goals. For perhaps 70% of our lives this is what we are doing. We are saving, investing, and accumulating. Part of accumulating wealth is keeping our burn rate in check. As NYU Stern Professor Scott Galloway says, “Rich is having passive income greater than your burn. People on a path to money focus on their earnings; people on a path to wealth also focus on their burn.”

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Hot Air Balloon half inflated on the ground

What the Heck is Stagflation?

There has been some talk of stagflation this year and it finally became enough for Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell to comment on it. It seems to me that a lot of financial jargon gets tossed about without consideration for the fact that most people didn’t go to school for economics or get a job in finance. So, since it’s in the zeitgeist, maybe it’s time to define some terms and get to the bottom of a couple of questions. What is stagflation? Is it occurring in the U.S. right now?

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Daisies

Market Outlook Spring 2024

In our Winter 2024 outlook, we wrote about what we thought would be the most important factors that would impact investments in 2024, including:
(1) Will inflation continue to fall as expected towards the
Fed’s 2% target?
(2) Will there be a recession?
In January, a large majority of investors believed that the Fed would successfully bring inflation down from a very high level to near its 2% target by the end of 2024 while avoiding a recession. In this update, we analyze recent inflation and economic data and provide our opinions as to how it changes the outlook.

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Markets moving on computer screen and with a newton's cradle swinging

Why is the Market Falling?

Any time the stock market falls for several days in a row, investors are bound to wonder what’s causing the volatility, even if they aren’t necessarily worried about it. I have not had many clients, friends, or family members ask me about the recent losses in the stock market yet, which I take to mean that most people aren’t that concerned. However, if the trend continues, it’s only a matter of time before I will be talking about the markets at dinner parties. Our readers and clients know that we think and invest long-term, but I always tell my clients that I want them to know why we’re doing what we’re doing. An informed investor is a more confident investor. With that in mind, let’s examine the recent price action in the markets, discuss what might be causing the reaction, and try to understand what the future may hold.

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old apple computer

Diversify

At Howe & Rusling, we read a lot. I just picked up Joe Wilson and the Creation of Xerox by Charles Ellis. The book is a walk down memory lane, especially if you are from Rochester. For those that know the story, after graduating from the University of Rochester and Harvard Business School, Joe Wilson, inherited the struggling Haloid Company from his father. Haloid teetered constantly on the verge of irrelevance and bankruptcy. Over the course of two decades after World War II, Joe Wilson poured nearly every personal and company dollar into the R&D that eventually led to “dry coating xerography”—a method that used electricity, physics, and dry materials to create copies rather than the traditional methods that relied on “wet chemicals” controlled by Eastman Kodak.

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