
Market Outlook Fall 2026
During the third quarter of 2026, subdued volatility in the S&P 500 masked sharp swings in individual stocks and industry groups (Advisor Perspectives). For example, software and services stocks, which declined 20% in the first half of the year amid concerns about AI-driven disruption, rebounded 28% in Q3, accounting for 98% of the S&P 500 Index’s approximately 2.3% total return for the quarter. Meanwhile, U.S. economic growth remained resilient, Treasury yields rose to levels not seen in decades, and inflation remained above 3%, well above the Federal Reserve’s 2% target (Morningstar). In our Fall 2026 Investment Outlook, we examine these



