Market Outlook Summer 2023

HOWE & RUSLING MACROECONOMIC COMMITTEE

The phrase “if it is not one thing, it is another” implies that when dealing with financial markets and the economy, there is often a continuous cycle of challenges or issues. It suggests that as one problem is addressed, another one arises. This statement reflects the dynamic and ever-changing nature of financial markets and the economy.

ferris wheel against blue sky

Financial markets and the economy are influenced by many factors such as government policies, global events, technological advancements, consumer behavior, and natural disasters, among others. These factors can have both positive and negative effects on the financial system and the overall economy.

For example, if there is a positive development such as increased consumer spending, it could lead to economic growth. However, this growth may also lead to inflationary pressures…hmmm, which can be a concern, double hmmm. In response to inflation, central banks might raise interest rates…sound familiar…which can affect borrowing costs for businesses and individuals.

Similarly, economic downturns or recessions can lead to decreased consumer spending and investment, which in turn can negatively affect financial markets. Governments and central banks may implement measures to stimulate the economy, such as lowering interest rates or implementing fiscal policies, but these actions can have unintended consequences as well…like inflation…

In summary, the phrase “if it is not one thing, it is another” suggests that the financial markets and the economy are subject to a continuous cycle of challenges and changes. It highlights the need for adaptability and flexibility when navigating these complex systems. While we might be getting out of the woods…eventually…with lower overall inflation, we might be walking into the proverbial ‘another thing,’ which will carry with it new challenges, both good and bad, which we will try to highlight in this Outlook. 

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Macroeconomic Committee

Our Macroeconomic Committee meets monthly to review economic indicators with the purpose of adjusting client portfolio allocations to reflect current and anticipated economic cycles.

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